Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.034330 0.039813 0.045896 0.053148 0.061560 0.071017 0.082461
2025-12-28 0.026132 0.033406 0.042294 0.053962 0.068897 0.087398 0.112106
2026-01-04 0.021041 0.028975 0.039412 0.054168 0.074534 0.101722 0.140896
2026-01-11 0.017589 0.025743 0.037139 0.054257 0.079396 0.115086 0.169837
2026-01-18 0.015264 0.023544 0.035734 0.055031 0.084932 0.129701 0.202216
2026-01-25 0.013631 0.022031 0.034985 0.056474 0.091402 0.146246 0.239510
2026-02-01 0.011658 0.019653 0.032509 0.054756 0.092516 0.154414 0.264416
2026-02-08 0.010309 0.018069 0.031038 0.054378 0.095615 0.165962 0.296207
2026-02-15 0.009160 0.016648 0.029622 0.053839 0.098256 0.176908 0.328211
2026-02-22 0.008405 0.015808 0.029078 0.054718 0.103440 0.192812 0.371094
2026-03-01 0.007595 0.014752 0.027999 0.054443 0.106401 0.204936 0.408360
2026-03-08 0.006740 0.013497 0.026388 0.052927 0.106749 0.212093 0.436771
2026-03-15 0.005972 0.012326 0.024821 0.051341 0.106846 0.218951 0.465930
2026-03-22 0.005567 0.011836 0.024533 0.052309 0.112269 0.237177 0.521300
2026-03-29 0.005134 0.011232 0.023938 0.052546 0.116169 0.252708 0.572986
2026-04-05 0.004737 0.010652 0.023317 0.052641 0.119751 0.267963 0.626104
2026-04-12 0.004437 0.010245 0.023015 0.053393 0.124881 0.287221 0.690994
2026-04-19 0.004213 0.009984 0.023001 0.054792 0.131663 0.311030 0.769890
2026-04-26 0.003795 0.009216 0.021748 0.053126 0.130979 0.317381 0.807179
2026-05-03 0.003507 0.008722 0.021071 0.052760 0.133393 0.331400 0.865562
2026-05-10 0.003237 0.008242 0.020369 0.052237 0.135343 0.344508 0.923400
2026-05-17 0.003071 0.007999 0.020218 0.053089 0.140910 0.367365 1.010136
2026-05-24 0.002858 0.007613 0.019663 0.052823 0.143510 0.382908 1.079225